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Portugal - Segunda Liga
Regular Season - 33
Estádio Do Vizela· Caldas de Vizela
Saturday, May 9, 2026
19:30
Vizela
PPG 1.56
1-0
HIT CS3
Uniao de Leiria
PPG 1.44
Away· +18.8%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
36.9%
Odds: 2.10
EV: -22.5%
Draw
27.2%
Odds: 3.20
EV: -7.8%
Away
36.0%
Odds: 3.30
EV: +18.8%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
46.5%
Odds: 1.90
-11.7%
Over 3.5
24.1%
Odds: 3.20
-13.7%
BTTS
53.9%
Odds: 1.67
-10.0%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
1-0
✔
4th
2-1
✘
5th
0-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Vizela
1.28
Uniao de Leiria
1.21
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-10.0%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Away (+18.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED
Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.56), Away AVERAGE (1.44)