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Portugal - Segunda Liga logo Portugal flag Portugal - Segunda Liga Regular Season - 33 Estádio Do Vizela· Caldas de Vizela Saturday, May 9, 2026 19:30
Vizela logo Vizela PPG 1.56
1-0 HIT CS3
Uniao de Leiria logo Uniao de Leiria PPG 1.44
Away· +18.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.9%
Odds: 2.10 EV: -22.5%
Draw 27.2%
Odds: 3.20 EV: -7.8%
Away 36.0%
Odds: 3.30 EV: +18.8%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 1.90 -11.7%
Over 3.5 24.1% Odds: 3.20 -13.7%
BTTS 53.9% Odds: 1.67 -10.0%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Vizela
1.28
Uniao de Leiria
1.21

Model Suggestion

BTTS -10.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+18.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.56), Away AVERAGE (1.44)

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