Lusitania FC vs Torreense Prediction & Tips

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Portugal - Segunda Liga Regular Season - 33 Estádio do Lusitânia FC· Lourosa Saturday, May 9, 2026 19:30

Lusitania FC PPG 1.38

1-2 HIT CS5

Torreense PPG 1.50

Home· +21.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.7%

Odds: 3.50 EV: +21.4%

Draw 28.9%

Odds: 3.35 EV: -1.9%

Away 36.4%

Odds: 1.98 EV: -27.9%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.8% Odds: 1.91 -12.5%

Over 3.5 18.6% Odds: 3.30 -23.2%

BTTS 52.1% Odds: 1.70 -11.4%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Lusitania FC

1.02

Torreense

1.21

Model SuggestionBTTS -11.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -11.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+21.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5/Under 45%

BTTS/No 38%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -45.7%

Bet Hit 30% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.38), Away GOOD (1.50)