← Back to picks
Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 logo Spain flag Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Group 1 - 36 Estadio Principe Felipe· Cáceres Saturday, May 9, 2026 19:00
Cacereno logo Cacereno PPG 1.06
4-1 MISS
Real Madrid B logo Real Madrid B PPG 1.12
Over2.5· -4.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 33.7%
Odds: 2.65 EV: -10.7%
Draw 27.5%
Odds: 3.20 EV: -7.2%
Away 38.9%
Odds: 2.45 EV: -4.7%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 2.05 -4.7%
Over 3.5 21.5% Odds: 3.70 -12.3%
BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.80 -5.9%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-2
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Cacereno
1.05
Real Madrid B
1.31

Model Suggestion

BTTS -5.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -5.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

League Track Record

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%
O2.5/Under 53%
BTTS/No 62%
Score Hit 47%
ROI -35.1%
Bet Hit 35% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.06), Away AVERAGE (1.12)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org