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Talleres R. E. vs V. San Carlos Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 15 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 18:30

Talleres R. E.

PPG 1.67 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

V. San Carlos

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.6%0-111.5%0-23.8%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-019.0%1-112.5%1-24.1%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.3%2-16.8%2-22.2%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.7%3-12.4%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-10.8%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.8% 56.5% 1.77 -26.0%

Draw 33.4% 33.3% 3.00 +0.2%

Away win 24.8% 20.8% 4.80 +11.4%

Over 2.5 35.1% 39.2% 2.55 -10.5%

Over 3.5 9.9% 22.2% 4.50 -33.3%

BTTS 45.9% 45.5% 2.20 +1.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 21.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob45.9%

H 42% / xG 1.1-0.7 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.6%

#2 1–0✓ 19.0%

#3 1–1 12.5%

#4 2–0 10.3%

#5 0–1 11.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Talleres R. E.1.1

V. San Carlos0.7

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 9.9%

Form & verdict PPG

TALLERES R. E. · PPG 1.67

V. SAN CARLOS · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=41.8%

Win probability 1X2

Talleres R. E. (H) 41.8%

ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV -26.0%

Draw 33.4%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +0.2%

V. San Carlos (A) 24.8%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +11.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Talleres R. E. face V. San Carlos in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Talleres R. E. a 42% chance, the draw 33% and V. San Carlos 25%, so Talleres R. E. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Talleres R. E. and 0.7 for V. San Carlos (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Talleres R. E. are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.80 for V. San Carlos. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +11.4%. This match finished 1-0.

Talleres R. E. vs V. San Carlos Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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