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D. Armenio vs Camioneros Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 15 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 18:30

D. Armenio

PPG 1.40 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

Camioneros

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-027.1%0-121.9%0-28.9%0-32.4%0-4+0.6%1 1-013.5%1-110.9%1-24.4%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-03.3%2-12.7%2-21.1%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-00.6%3-10.4%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.9% 43.5% 2.30 -28.4%

Draw 42.1% 36.4% 2.75 +15.8%

Away win 35.0% 29.9% 3.35 +17.3%

Over 2.5 25.8% 32.3% 3.10 -12.0%

Over 3.5 4.4% 15.4% 6.50 -42.8%

BTTS 41.8% 41.7% 2.40 +0.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 21.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob41.8%

A 35% / xG 0.5-0.8 / U2.5 26% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 27.1%

#2 0–1 21.9%

#3 1–1 10.9%

#4 1–0 13.5%

#5 0–2 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

D. Armenio0.5

Camioneros0.8

COMBINED 1.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 25.8% · O3.5 PROB 4.4%

Form & verdict PPG

D. ARMENIO · PPG 1.40

CAMIONEROS · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.40), Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

D. Armenio (H) 22.9%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -28.4%

Draw 42.1%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +15.8%

Camioneros (A) 35.0%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV +17.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

D. Armenio face Camioneros in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives D. Armenio a 23% chance, the draw 42% and Camioneros 35%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.5 for D. Armenio and 0.8 for Camioneros (1.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, D. Armenio are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.67 for Camioneros. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +17.3%. This match finished 1-3.

D. Armenio vs Camioneros Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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