Partizan vs OFK Beograd Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Serbia - Super Liga Championship Group - 35 Stadion Partizana· Belgrade Saturday, May 9, 2026 17:30

Partizan PPG 2.24

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

OFK Beograd PPG 1.71

Away· +18.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.3%

Odds: 1.53 EV: -24.6%

Draw 25.6%

Odds: 4.10 EV: +3.0%

Away 25.1%

Odds: 5.20 EV: +18.3%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.50 -11.1%

Over 3.5 33.0% Odds: 2.20 -27.4%

BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.53 -16.5%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Partizan

1.76

OFK Beograd

1.14

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -11.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -11.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+18.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5/Under 43%

BTTS/No 41%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -53.7%

Bet Hit 23% (13 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.24) > Away GOOD (1.71)