Today / Dziugas Telsiai vs Riteriai

Dziugas Telsiai vs Riteriai Prediction

Saturday, May 9, 2026

Dziugas Telsiai

PPG 1.50 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Riteriai

PPG 0.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in GOOD form (1.50), Away POOR (0.17) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-11.9%0-20.4%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-013.0%1-15.1%1-21.0%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-016.9%2-16.6%2-21.3%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-014.8%3-15.8%3-21.1%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-018.1%4+-17.0%4+-21.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 71.4% — — —

Draw 20.8% — — —

Away win 7.8% — — —

Over 2.5 59.3% — — —

Over 3.5 35.3% — — —

BTTS 45.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob45.9%

H 71% / xG 2.6-0.4 / O2.5 59% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 16.9%

#2 3–0 14.8%

#3 1–0✓ 13.0%

#4 4–0 9.6%

#5 2–1 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dziugas Telsiai2.6

Riteriai0.4

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.3% · O3.5 PROB 35.3%

Form & verdict PPG

DZIUGAS TELSIAI · PPG 1.50

RITERIAI · PPG 0.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.50), Away POOR (0.17) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Dziugas Telsiai (H) 71.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Riteriai (A) 7.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dziugas Telsiai face Riteriai on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dziugas Telsiai a 71% chance, the draw 21% and Riteriai 8%, so Dziugas Telsiai are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Dziugas Telsiai and 0.4 for Riteriai (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dziugas Telsiai are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.17 for Riteriai. This match finished 1-0.

Dziugas Telsiai vs Riteriai Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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