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Australia - Victoria NPL 2 logo Australia flag Australia - Victoria NPL 2 Regular Season - 12 Saturday, May 9, 2026 05:00
Langwarrin logo Langwarrin PPG 1.40
1-4 MISS
Melbourne K. logo Melbourne K. PPG 1.20
Draw· -2.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 22.2%
Odds: 4.00 EV: -6.7%
Draw 24.5%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -2.7%
Away 53.3%
Odds: 1.62 EV: -13.7%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.2% Odds: 1.44 -13.3%
Over 3.5 38.6% Odds: 2.00 -22.8%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.44 -15.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-2
4th 0-1
5th 1-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Langwarrin
1.13
Melbourne K.
2.02

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -13.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -13.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.40), Away AVERAGE (1.20)

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