Today / Presov vs Skalica

Presov vs Skalica Prediction

Saturday, May 9, 2026

Presov

PPG 1.00 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Skalica

PPG 0.53 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.53)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.0%0-111.9%0-26.4%0-32.3%0-4+0.8%1 1-012.4%1-113.4%1-27.3%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.0%2-17.5%2-24.1%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.6%3-12.8%3-21.5%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.0%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.3% — — —

Draw 28.2% — — —

Away win 35.5% — — —

Over 2.5 45.8% — — —

Over 3.5 18.3% — — —

BTTS 52.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.0%

D 28% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 11.0%

#3 1–0 12.4%

#4 0–1 11.9%

#5 2–1 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Presov1.1

Skalica1.1

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.3%

Form & verdict PPG

PRESOV · PPG 1.00

SKALICA · PPG 0.53

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.53)

Win probability 1X2

Presov (H) 36.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Skalica (A) 35.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Presov face Skalica on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Presov a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Skalica 36%, so Presov are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Presov and 1.1 for Skalica (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Presov are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.53 for Skalica. This match finished 3-0.

Presov vs Skalica Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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