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Kickers Emden vs VfB Lubeck Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

North - 33 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 16:00

Kickers Emden

PPG 1.44 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

VfB Lubeck

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.44) > Away AVERAGE (1.13)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-12.7%0-22.2%0-31.2%0-4+0.7%1 1-04.1%1-16.6%1-25.4%1-33.0%1-4+1.7%2 2-05.0%2-18.2%2-26.7%2-33.7%2-4+2.2%3 3-04.2%3-16.8%3-25.5%3-33.0%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-04.6%4+-17.6%4+-26.2%4+-33.4%4+-4+2.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.2% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 25.5% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 58.8% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 77%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 3.3%

Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.0%

H 50% / xG 2.5-1.6 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.2%

#2 1–1✓ 6.6%

#3 3–1 6.8%

#4 2–2 6.7%

#5 3–2 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kickers Emden2.5

VfB Lubeck1.6

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 58.8%

Form & verdict PPG

KICKERS EMDEN · PPG 1.44

VFB LUBECK · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.44) > Away AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

Kickers Emden (H) 50.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

VfB Lubeck (A) 25.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kickers Emden face VfB Lubeck in Germany - Regionalliga - Nord on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kickers Emden a 50% chance, the draw 24% and VfB Lubeck 26%, so Kickers Emden are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Kickers Emden and 1.6 for VfB Lubeck (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kickers Emden are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.13 for VfB Lubeck. This match finished 1-1.

Kickers Emden vs VfB Lubeck Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

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