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BW Lohne vs Schoningen Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

North - 33 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 16:00

BW Lohne

PPG 0.81 · HOME

4 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Schoningen

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.81), Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-15.3%0-25.0%0-33.1%0-4+2.3%1 1-04.7%1-18.9%1-28.4%1-35.3%1-4+3.9%2 2-04.0%2-17.5%2-27.1%2-34.5%2-4+3.3%3 3-02.2%3-14.2%3-24.0%3-32.5%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.6%4+-22.5%4+-31.6%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.1% — — —

Draw 24.9% — — —

Away win 40.0% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 48.2% — — —

BTTS 62.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 77%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 3.3%

Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-4

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob62.5%

A 40% / xG 1.7-1.9 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.9%

#2 1–2 8.4%

#3 2–1 7.5%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 1–3 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

BW Lohne1.7

Schoningen1.9

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 48.2%

Form & verdict PPG

BW LOHNE · PPG 0.81

SCHONINGEN · PPG 1.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.81), Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Win probability 1X2

BW Lohne (H) 35.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Schoningen (A) 40.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

BW Lohne face Schoningen in Germany - Regionalliga - Nord on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives BW Lohne a 35% chance, the draw 25% and Schoningen 40%, so Schoningen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for BW Lohne and 1.9 for Schoningen (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, BW Lohne are averaging 0.81 points per game versus 1.07 for Schoningen. This match finished 4-4.

BW Lohne vs Schoningen Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

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