Today / Budaors W vs Puskas A. W

Budaors W vs Puskas A. W Prediction

Saturday, May 9, 2026

Budaors W

PPG 0.60 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O3.5

Puskas A. W

PPG 2.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 3.5

Combined xG of 6.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.2%0-11.2%0-23.2%0-35.5%0-4+33.3%1 1-00.2%1-11.0%1-22.6%1-34.6%1-4+27.7%2 2-00.1%2-10.4%2-21.1%2-31.9%2-4+11.5%3 3-00.0%3-10.1%3-20.3%3-30.5%3-4+3.2%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 9.5% — — —

Draw 18.7% — — —

Away win 71.8% — — —

Over 2.5 78.8% — — —

Over 3.5 85.5% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)5.2 BTTS prob54.6%

A 72% / xG 0.8-5.2 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–5 7.6%

#2 0–4 7.3%

#3 1–5 6.3%

#4 1–4 6.0%

#5 0–3 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Budaors W0.8

Puskas A. W5.2

COMBINED 6.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.8% · O3.5 PROB 85.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BUDAORS W · PPG 0.60

PUSKAS A. W · PPG 2.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.44) vs Home POOR (0.60)

Win probability 1X2

Budaors W (H) 9.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Puskas A. W (A) 71.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Budaors W face Puskas A. W on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Budaors W a 10% chance, the draw 19% and Puskas A. W 72%, so Puskas A. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Budaors W and 5.2 for Puskas A. W (6.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-5. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Budaors W are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 2.44 for Puskas A. W. This match finished 3-0.

Budaors W vs Puskas A. W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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