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Ukraine - Premier League logo Ukraine flag Ukraine - Premier League Regular Season - 27 Obolon Arena· Kyiv Saturday, May 9, 2026 15:00
Obolon logo Obolon PPG 1.00
2-2 MISS
Episentr logo Episentr PPG 1.08
Home· +5.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.7%
Odds: 2.95 EV: +5.3%
Draw 28.2%
Odds: 2.70 EV: -14.3%
Away 36.0%
Odds: 2.55 EV: -8.2%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 2.25 +4.6%
Over 3.5 21.4% Odds: 4.00 -8.6%
BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.80 -5.9%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Obolon
1.10
Episentr
1.26

Model Suggestion

BTTS -5.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -5.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+5.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.08)

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