Today / TB Tvoroyri vs Suduroy

TB Tvoroyri vs Suduroy Prediction

Saturday, May 9, 2026

TB Tvoroyri

PPG 2.00 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Suduroy

PPG 3.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home EXCELLENT (2.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-16.0%0-28.2%0-37.4%0-4+9.8%1 1-02.4%1-16.5%1-28.9%1-38.1%1-4+10.7%2 2-01.3%2-13.6%2-24.9%2-34.4%2-4+5.8%3 3-00.5%3-11.3%3-21.8%3-31.6%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.4%4+-20.6%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.8% — — —

Draw 21.6% — — —

Away win 65.6% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 52.9% — — —

BTTS 58.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 66%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)2.7 BTTS prob58.8%

A 66% / xG 1.1-2.7 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.9%

#2 0–2 8.2%

#3 1–3 8.1%

#4 1–1 6.5%

#5 0–3 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

TB Tvoroyri1.1

Suduroy2.7

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 52.9%

Form & verdict PPG

TB TVOROYRI · PPG 2.00

SUDUROY · PPG 3.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

TB Tvoroyri (H) 12.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Suduroy (A) 65.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

TB Tvoroyri face Suduroy on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives TB Tvoroyri a 13% chance, the draw 22% and Suduroy 66%, so Suduroy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for TB Tvoroyri and 2.7 for Suduroy (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, TB Tvoroyri are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 3.00 for Suduroy. This match finished 1-4.

TB Tvoroyri vs Suduroy Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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