Today / S. Olomouc U19 vs Pardubice U19

S. Olomouc U19 vs Pardubice U19 Prediction

Saturday, May 9, 2026

S. Olomouc U19
PPG 1.42 · HOME
1 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Pardubice U19
PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-16.1%0-25.2%0-32.9%0-4+1.8%1 1-05.8%1-19.9%1-28.4%1-34.8%1-4+3.0%2 2-04.7%2-18.1%2-26.9%2-33.9%2-4+2.4%3 3-02.6%3-14.4%3-23.7%3-32.1%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-12.6%4+-22.2%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.8%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 37.3%
Draw 26.3%
Away win 36.4%
Over 2.5 60.2%
Over 3.5 42.7%
BTTS 59.0%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 37%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-2
xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob59.0%

A 36% / xG 1.6-1.7 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.9%
#2 1–2 8.4%
#3 2–1 8.1%
#4 2–2 6.9%
#5 0–2 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

S. Olomouc U191.6
Pardubice U191.7

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 42.7%

Form & verdict PPG

S. OLOMOUC U19 · PPG 1.42

PARDUBICE U19 · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.42), Away AVERAGE (1.17)

Win probability 1X2

S. Olomouc U19 (H) 37.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 26.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Pardubice U19 (A) 36.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

S. Olomouc U19 face Pardubice U19 on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives S. Olomouc U19 a 37% chance, the draw 26% and Pardubice U19 36%, so S. Olomouc U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for S. Olomouc U19 and 1.7 for Pardubice U19 (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, S. Olomouc U19 are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 1.17 for Pardubice U19. This match finished 1-2.

PredictVantage

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