Today / Plzen U19 vs Slavia P. U19

Plzen U19 vs Slavia P. U19 Prediction

Saturday, May 9, 2026

Plzen U19

PPG 1.92 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Slavia P. U19

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.6%0-11.3%0-21.4%0-31.1%0-4+1.0%1 1-01.7%1-13.8%1-24.2%1-33.1%1-4+3.0%2 2-02.4%2-15.5%2-26.1%2-34.6%2-4+4.3%3 3-02.4%3-15.3%3-26.0%3-34.5%3-4+4.2%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-18.0%4+-29.0%4+-36.7%4+-4+6.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.7% — — —

Draw 21.8% — — —

Away win 27.5% — — —

Over 2.5 78.8% — — —

Over 3.5 75.7% — — —

BTTS 66.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 66%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob66.7%

H 51% / xG 2.9-2.2 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.1%

#2 3–2 6.0%

#3 2–1 5.5%

#4 3–1 5.3%

#5 2–3 4.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Plzen U192.9

Slavia P. U192.2

COMBINED 5.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.8% · O3.5 PROB 75.7%

Form & verdict PPG

PLZEN U19 · PPG 1.92

SLAVIA P. U19 · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.92) vs P(Home)=50.7%

Win probability 1X2

Plzen U19 (H) 50.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Slavia P. U19 (A) 27.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Plzen U19 face Slavia P. U19 on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Plzen U19 a 51% chance, the draw 22% and Slavia P. U19 28%, so Plzen U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Plzen U19 and 2.2 for Slavia P. U19 (5.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Plzen U19 are averaging 1.92 points per game versus 1.00 for Slavia P. U19. This match finished 1-3.

Plzen U19 vs Slavia P. U19 Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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