Today / Tomislav vs Stupcanica

Tomislav vs Stupcanica Prediction

Saturday, May 9, 2026

Tomislav

PPG 1.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Stupcanica

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.60), Away GOOD (1.60)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-112.1%0-28.3%0-33.8%0-4+1.8%1 1-09.3%1-112.8%1-28.8%1-34.0%1-4+1.9%2 2-04.9%2-16.7%2-24.6%2-32.1%2-4+1.0%3 3-01.7%3-12.4%3-21.6%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.8%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.1% — — —

Draw 27.1% — — —

Away win 41.8% — — —

Over 2.5 46.5% — — —

Over 3.5 22.7% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 18%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob52.3%

A 42% / xG 1.1-1.4 / O2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 8.8%

#3 0–1 12.1%

#4 1–2 8.8%

#5 0–2 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tomislav1.1

Stupcanica1.4

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 22.7%

Form & verdict PPG

TOMISLAV · PPG 1.60

STUPCANICA · PPG 1.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.60), Away GOOD (1.60)

Win probability 1X2

Tomislav (H) 31.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Stupcanica (A) 41.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tomislav face Stupcanica on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tomislav a 31% chance, the draw 27% and Stupcanica 42%, so Stupcanica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Tomislav and 1.4 for Stupcanica (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tomislav are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.60 for Stupcanica.

Tomislav vs Stupcanica Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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