Today / GOSK Gabela vs Vitez

GOSK Gabela vs Vitez Prediction

Saturday, May 9, 2026

GOSK Gabela

PPG 1.60 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Vitez

PPG 0.70 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.8%0-18.6%0-23.4%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-015.5%1-112.3%1-24.9%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.1%2-18.8%2-23.5%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.3%3-14.2%3-21.7%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-12.1%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.9% — — —

Draw 26.5% — — —

Away win 24.6% — — —

Over 2.5 45.8% — — —

Over 3.5 18.6% — — —

BTTS 49.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob49.6%

H 49% / xG 1.4-0.8 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.3%

#2 1–0 15.5%

#3 0–0 10.8%

#4 2–0 11.1%

#5 2–1 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

GOSK Gabela1.4

Vitez0.8

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

GOSK GABELA · PPG 1.60

VITEZ · PPG 0.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.60) vs P(Home)=48.9%

Win probability 1X2

GOSK Gabela (H) 48.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Vitez (A) 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

GOSK Gabela face Vitez on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives GOSK Gabela a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Vitez 25%, so GOSK Gabela are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for GOSK Gabela and 0.8 for Vitez (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, GOSK Gabela are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 0.70 for Vitez. This match finished 1-1.

GOSK Gabela vs Vitez Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions