Armenia - Premier LeagueRegular Season - 25Junior Sport Stadium· YerevanSaturday, May 9, 202615:00
PyunikPPG 2.40
2-0HIT CS2
BKMAPPG 0.82
Away· +54.0%⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home51.3%
Odds: 1.28EV: -34.3%
Draw26.6%
Odds: 4.80EV: +16.6%
Away22.1%
Odds: 8.60EV: +54.0%
Model lean: HomeNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.546.5%Odds: 1.65-23.3%
Over 3.522.6%Odds: 2.60-24.7%
BTTS48.2%Odds: 2.00-3.6%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st1-0✘
2nd2-0✔
3rd1-1✘
4th0-0✘
5th2-1✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Pyunik
1.74
BKMA
0.69
Model Suggestion
Home-34.3%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -34.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Away (+54.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs P(Home)=51.3%