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Portugal - Segunda Liga
Regular Season - 33
CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira· Alcochete
Saturday, May 9, 2026
14:30
Sporting CP B
PPG 1.31
0-1
MISS
FC Porto B
PPG 1.00
Draw· -2.1%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
47.3%
Odds: 1.92
EV: -9.2%
Draw
27.2%
Odds: 3.55
EV: -2.1%
Away
25.5%
Odds: 3.50
EV: -6.5%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
46.5%
Odds: 1.75
-18.6%
Over 3.5
21.0%
Odds: 2.90
-23.5%
BTTS
52.3%
Odds: 1.62
-15.3%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
0-0
✘
4th
2-0
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Sporting CP B
1.41
FC Porto B
0.94
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-15.3%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -15.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.31) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)