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Portugal - Segunda Liga logo Portugal flag Portugal - Segunda Liga Regular Season - 33 Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril· Penafiel Saturday, May 9, 2026 14:30
Penafiel logo Penafiel PPG 1.44
1-0 HIT CS5
Maritimo logo Maritimo PPG 2.19
Away· +12.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 26.6%
Odds: 2.58 EV: -18.8%
Draw 29.8%
Odds: 3.20 EV: -2.8%
Away 43.6%
Odds: 2.58 EV: +12.5%
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 36.5% Odds: 2.10 -23.4%
Over 3.5 14.0% Odds: 3.85 -27.7%
BTTS 48.2% Odds: 1.80 -13.2%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 0-1
4th 0-2
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Penafiel
0.77
Maritimo
1.21

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%
O2.5/Under 45%
BTTS/No 38%
Score Hit 41%
ROI -45.7%
Bet Hit 30% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
66%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.19) vs Home AVERAGE (1.44)

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