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Portugal - Segunda Liga
Regular Season - 33
Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos· Felgueiras
Saturday, May 9, 2026
14:30
Felgueiras
PPG 1.50
1-1
HIT MostLikelyScore
Portimonense
PPG 1.19
Draw· +2.0%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
40.9%
Odds: 1.94
EV: -20.6%
Draw
30.9%
Odds: 3.30
EV: +2.0%
Away
28.2%
Odds: 3.65
EV: +1.8%
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
45.8%
Odds: 2.00
-8.4%
Over 3.5
15.3%
Odds: 3.55
-27.4%
BTTS
48.2%
Odds: 1.80
-13.2%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✔
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
1-0
✘
4th
0-1
✘
5th
2-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Felgueiras
1.13
Portimonense
0.93
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.19)