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Portugal - Segunda Liga logo Portugal flag Portugal - Segunda Liga Regular Season - 33 Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos· Felgueiras Saturday, May 9, 2026 14:30
Felgueiras logo Felgueiras PPG 1.50
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Portimonense logo Portimonense PPG 1.19
Draw· +2.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 40.9%
Odds: 1.94 EV: -20.6%
Draw 30.9%
Odds: 3.30 EV: +2.0%
Away 28.2%
Odds: 3.65 EV: +1.8%
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.8% Odds: 2.00 -8.4%
Over 3.5 15.3% Odds: 3.55 -27.4%
BTTS 48.2% Odds: 1.80 -13.2%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Felgueiras
1.13
Portimonense
0.93

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.19)

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