Today / Hougang vs A. Niigata (S)

Hougang vs A. Niigata (S) Prediction

Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 11:30

Hougang

PPG 0.38 · HOME

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

A. Niigata (S)

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.67) vs Home POOR (0.38)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-17.2%0-211.6%0-312.4%0-4+22.4%1 1-01.3%1-14.2%1-26.8%1-37.2%1-4+13.0%2 2-00.4%2-11.2%2-22.0%2-32.1%2-4+3.8%3 3-00.1%3-10.2%3-20.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 3.8% — — —

Draw 8.9% — — —

Away win 87.3% — — —

Over 2.5 73.0% — — —

Over 3.5 52.5% — — —

BTTS 42.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 4 79%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)3.2 BTTS prob42.3%

A 87% / xG 0.6-3.2 / O2.5 73% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–3 12.4%

#2 0–2 11.6%

#3 0–4✓ 10.0%

#4 0–1 7.2%

#5 1–3 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hougang0.6

A. Niigata (S)3.2

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.0% · O3.5 PROB 52.5%

Form & verdict PPG

HOUGANG · PPG 0.38

A. NIIGATA (S) · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.67) vs Home POOR (0.38)

Win probability 1X2

Hougang (H) 3.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 8.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

A. Niigata (S) (A) 87.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hougang face A. Niigata (S) on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hougang a 4% chance, the draw 9% and A. Niigata (S) 87%, so A. Niigata (S) are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Hougang and 3.2 for A. Niigata (S) (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hougang are averaging 0.38 points per game versus 1.67 for A. Niigata (S). This match finished 0-4.

Hougang vs A. Niigata (S) Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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