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Jamshedpur vs Bengaluru Prediction— India - Indian Super League

Regular Season - 12 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 14:00

Jamshedpur

PPG 2.43 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Bengaluru

PPG 2.20 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.6%0-111.2%0-25.0%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.9%1-113.2%1-25.9%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.8%2-17.8%2-23.5%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.5%3-13.1%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.2%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.3% — — —

Draw 29.4% — — —

Away win 26.3% — — —

Over 2.5 45.8% — — —

Over 3.5 15.6% — — —

BTTS 48.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 5.0%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.2%

H 44% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 12.6%

#3 1–0 14.9%

#4 0–1✓ 11.2%

#5 2–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jamshedpur1.2

Bengaluru0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.8% · O3.5 PROB 15.6%

Form & verdict PPG

JAMSHEDPUR · PPG 2.43

BENGALURU · PPG 2.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.43), Away EXCELLENT (2.20)

Win probability 1X2

Jamshedpur (H) 44.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bengaluru (A) 26.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Jamshedpur face Bengaluru in India - Indian Super League on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jamshedpur a 44% chance, the draw 29% and Bengaluru 26%, so Jamshedpur are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Jamshedpur and 0.9 for Bengaluru (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jamshedpur are averaging 2.43 points per game versus 2.20 for Bengaluru. This match finished 0-1.

Jamshedpur vs Bengaluru Prediction— India - Indian Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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