Today / Szekszardi W vs Gyori ETO W

Szekszardi W vs Gyori ETO W Prediction

Saturday, May 9, 2026

Szekszardi W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Gyori ETO W

PPG 1.90 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-14.2%0-27.7%0-39.3%0-4+21.7%1 1-01.0%1-13.5%1-26.3%1-37.6%1-4+17.8%2 2-00.4%2-11.4%2-22.6%2-33.1%2-4+7.3%3 3-00.1%3-10.4%3-20.7%3-30.8%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.2%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 9.3% — — —

Draw 21.9% — — —

Away win 68.8% — — —

Over 2.5 69.8% — — —

Over 3.5 65.0% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 64%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)3.6 BTTS prob54.6%

A 69% / xG 0.8-3.6 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–3 9.3%

#2 0–4 8.5%

#3 0–2 7.7%

#4 1–3 7.6%

#5 1–4 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Szekszardi W0.8

Gyori ETO W3.6

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.8% · O3.5 PROB 65.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SZEKSZARDI W · PPG 1.00

GYORI ETO W · PPG 1.90

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.90) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Szekszardi W (H) 9.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gyori ETO W (A) 68.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Szekszardi W face Gyori ETO W on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Szekszardi W a 9% chance, the draw 22% and Gyori ETO W 69%, so Gyori ETO W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Szekszardi W and 3.6 for Gyori ETO W (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Szekszardi W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.90 for Gyori ETO W. This match finished 1-1.

Szekszardi W vs Gyori ETO W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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