Today / Kozakken Boys vs GVVV

Kozakken Boys vs GVVV Prediction

Saturday, May 9, 2026

Kozakken Boys
PPG 1.00 · HOME
3 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
GVVV
PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-16.4%0-24.8%0-32.4%0-4+1.3%1 1-07.0%1-110.5%1-28.0%1-34.0%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.8%2-18.7%2-26.6%2-33.3%2-4+1.8%3 3-03.2%3-14.8%3-23.6%3-31.8%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.9%4+-22.2%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 40.5%
Draw 25.0%
Away win 34.6%
Over 2.5 60.2%
Over 3.5 39.1%
BTTS 58.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 34%CONFIDENCE
✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE
xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob58.8%

H 40% / xG 1.7-1.5 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%
#2 2–1 8.7%
#3 1–2 8.0%
#4 2–2 6.6%
#5 0–0 4.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kozakken Boys1.7
GVVV1.5

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 39.1%

Form & verdict PPG

KOZAKKEN BOYS · PPG 1.00

GVVV · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.20)

Win probability 1X2

Kozakken Boys (H) 40.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 25.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
GVVV (A) 34.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kozakken Boys face GVVV on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kozakken Boys a 41% chance, the draw 25% and GVVV 35%, so Kozakken Boys are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Kozakken Boys and 1.5 for GVVV (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kozakken Boys are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.20 for GVVV. This match finished 3-1.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org