Today / IJsselmeerv. vs HHC Hardenberg

IJsselmeerv. vs HHC Hardenberg Prediction

Saturday, May 9, 2026

IJsselmeerv.

PPG 0.93 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

HHC Hardenberg

PPG 1.47 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-18.9%0-28.1%0-34.9%0-4+3.4%1 1-05.8%1-110.6%1-29.7%1-35.9%1-4+4.1%2 2-03.5%2-16.4%2-25.8%2-33.5%2-4+2.5%3 3-01.4%3-12.5%3-22.3%3-31.4%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-11.0%4+-20.9%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.6% — — —

Draw 27.0% — — —

Away win 45.4% — — —

Over 2.5 59.3% — — —

Over 3.5 35.9% — — —

BTTS 58.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob58.8%

A 45% / xG 1.2-1.8 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%

#2 1–2 9.7%

#3 0–2 8.1%

#4 0–1 8.9%

#5 0–0 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

IJsselmeerv.1.2

HHC Hardenberg1.8

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.3% · O3.5 PROB 35.9%

Form & verdict PPG

IJSSELMEERV. · PPG 0.93

HHC HARDENBERG · PPG 1.47

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.47) vs Home POOR (0.93)

Win probability 1X2

IJsselmeerv. (H) 27.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

HHC Hardenberg (A) 45.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

IJsselmeerv. face HHC Hardenberg on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives IJsselmeerv. a 28% chance, the draw 27% and HHC Hardenberg 45%, so HHC Hardenberg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for IJsselmeerv. and 1.8 for HHC Hardenberg (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, IJsselmeerv. are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 1.47 for HHC Hardenberg. This match finished 2-0.

IJsselmeerv. vs HHC Hardenberg Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions