Today / LASK W vs SCR Altach W

LASK W vs SCR Altach W Prediction

Saturday, May 9, 2026

LASK W
PPG 0.67 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
SCR Altach W
PPG 1.89 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-17.9%0-27.5%0-34.8%0-4+3.6%1 1-05.3%1-110.1%1-29.6%1-36.1%1-4+4.5%2 2-03.4%2-16.4%2-26.1%2-33.9%2-4+2.9%3 3-01.4%3-12.7%3-22.6%3-31.7%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.2%4+-21.1%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 27.6%
Draw 27.0%
Away win 45.4%
Over 2.5 60.2%
Over 3.5 39.5%
BTTS 58.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 38%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob58.8%

A 45% / xG 1.3-1.9 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%
#2 1–2 9.6%
#3 0–2 7.5%
#4 2–1 6.4%
#5 0–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

LASK W1.3
SCR Altach W1.9

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 39.5%

Form & verdict PPG

LASK W · PPG 0.67

SCR ALTACH W · PPG 1.89

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.89) vs Home POOR (0.67)

Win probability 1X2

LASK W (H) 27.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 27.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
SCR Altach W (A) 45.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

LASK W face SCR Altach W on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives LASK W a 28% chance, the draw 27% and SCR Altach W 45%, so SCR Altach W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for LASK W and 1.9 for SCR Altach W (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, LASK W are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 1.89 for SCR Altach W. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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