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LNZ Cherkasy vs Dynamo Kyiv Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Regular Season - 27 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 12:30

LNZ Cherkasy

PPG 1.85 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Dynamo Kyiv

PPG 1.85 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.4% vs bookmaker-implied 54.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.2%0-19.5%0-25.4%0-32.1%0-4+0.8%1 1-011.1%1-112.8%1-27.3%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.5%2-18.6%2-24.9%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.4%3-13.9%3-22.2%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.8%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.0% 31.3% 3.20 +34.4%

Draw 27.8% 32.3% 3.10 -8.3%

Away win 30.2% 46.5% 2.15 -35.1%

Over 2.5 46.5% 45.5% 2.20 +2.3%

Over 3.5 24.2% 25.0% 4.00 -1.9%

BTTS 53.4% 54.1% 1.85 -1.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 56%

ROI 11.4%

Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 21%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob53.4%

H 42% / xG 1.3-1.1 / O2.5 46% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0✓ 8.2%

#3 1–0 11.1%

#4 2–1 8.6%

#5 0–1 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

LNZ Cherkasy1.3

Dynamo Kyiv1.1

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 24.2%

Form & verdict PPG

LNZ CHERKASY · PPG 1.85

DYNAMO KYIV · PPG 1.85

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.85), Away GOOD (1.85)

Win probability 1X2

LNZ Cherkasy (H) 42.0%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +34.4%

Draw 27.8%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -8.3%

Dynamo Kyiv (A) 30.2%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -35.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

LNZ Cherkasy face Dynamo Kyiv in Ukraine - Premier League on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives LNZ Cherkasy a 42% chance, the draw 28% and Dynamo Kyiv 30%, so LNZ Cherkasy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for LNZ Cherkasy and 1.1 for Dynamo Kyiv (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, LNZ Cherkasy are averaging 1.85 points per game versus 1.85 for Dynamo Kyiv. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +34.4%. This match finished 0-0.

LNZ Cherkasy vs Dynamo Kyiv Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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