Today / ACV Assen vs Quick Boys

ACV Assen vs Quick Boys Prediction

Saturday, May 9, 2026

ACV Assen
PPG 0.87 · HOME
1 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Quick Boys
PPG 1.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-16.4%0-28.1%0-36.8%0-4+7.8%1 1-02.9%1-17.4%1-29.3%1-37.8%1-4+9.0%2 2-01.7%2-14.2%2-25.3%2-34.5%2-4+5.1%3 3-00.6%3-11.6%3-22.0%3-31.7%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.6%4+-20.8%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.7%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 15.3%
Draw 23.7%
Away win 61.0%
Over 2.5 61.7%
Over 3.5 49.9%
BTTS 58.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 60%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-2
xG (home)1.1 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob58.8%

A 61% / xG 1.1-2.5 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.3%
#2 1–1 7.4%
#3 0–2 8.1%
#4 1–3 7.8%
#5 0–3 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

ACV Assen1.1
Quick Boys2.5

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 49.9%

Form & verdict PPG

ACV ASSEN · PPG 0.87

QUICK BOYS · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.80) vs Home POOR (0.87)

Win probability 1X2

ACV Assen (H) 15.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Quick Boys (A) 61.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

ACV Assen face Quick Boys on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives ACV Assen a 15% chance, the draw 24% and Quick Boys 61%, so Quick Boys are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for ACV Assen and 2.5 for Quick Boys (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, ACV Assen are averaging 0.87 points per game versus 1.80 for Quick Boys. This match finished 1-2.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org