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Wals-Grunau vs Kuchl Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 28 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 12:30

Wals-Grunau

PPG 1.33 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Kuchl

PPG 1.92 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 62.6% vs bookmaker-implied 70.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-15.2%0-25.3%0-33.5%0-4+2.8%1 1-04.2%1-18.5%1-28.6%1-35.8%1-4+4.7%2 2-03.5%2-17.0%2-27.1%2-34.7%2-4+3.8%3 3-01.9%3-13.8%3-23.8%3-32.6%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-12.3%4+-22.3%4+-31.5%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.5% 43.5% 2.30 -20.6%

Draw 25.1% 25.0% 4.00 +0.2%

Away win 40.4% 43.5% 2.30 -7.1%

Over 2.5 61.7% 66.7% 1.50 -7.4%

Over 3.5 49.7% 46.1% 2.17 +7.8%

BTTS 62.6% 70.9% 1.41 -11.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob62.6%

A 40% / xG 1.6-2.0 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.5%

#2 1–2✓ 8.6%

#3 2–2 7.1%

#4 2–1 7.0%

#5 1–3 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wals-Grunau1.6

Kuchl2.0

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 49.7%

Form & verdict PPG

WALS-GRUNAU · PPG 1.33

KUCHL · PPG 1.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.92) vs Home AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Wals-Grunau (H) 34.5%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -20.6%

Draw 25.1%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +0.2%

Kuchl (A) 40.4%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -7.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wals-Grunau face Kuchl in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wals-Grunau a 35% chance, the draw 25% and Kuchl 40%, so Kuchl are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Wals-Grunau and 2.0 for Kuchl (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wals-Grunau are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.92 for Kuchl. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +7.8%. This match finished 1-2.

Wals-Grunau vs Kuchl Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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