Today / Ferencvaros W vs Szent Mihaly W

Ferencvaros W vs Szent Mihaly W Prediction

Saturday, May 9, 2026

Ferencvaros W
PPG 2.70 · HOME
3 – 0
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Szent Mihaly W
PPG 1.10 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.8%0-10.8%0-20.4%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-02.9%1-13.0%1-21.5%1-30.5%1-4+0.2%2 2-05.6%2-15.8%2-23.0%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-07.2%3-17.4%3-23.8%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-019.4%4+-119.8%4+-210.2%4+-33.5%4+-4+1.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 70.7%
Draw 20.6%
Away win 8.7%
Over 2.5 78.8%
Over 3.5 71.9%
BTTS 58.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 75%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-0
xG (home)3.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob58.8%

H 71% / xG 3.9-1.0 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.4%
#2 3–0 7.2%
#3 4–1 7.2%
#4 4–0 7.0%
#5 2–1 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ferencvaros W3.9
Szent Mihaly W1.0

COMBINED 4.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.8% · O3.5 PROB 71.9%

Form & verdict PPG

FERENCVAROS W · PPG 2.70

SZENT MIHALY W · PPG 1.10

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.70), Away AVERAGE (1.10) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Ferencvaros W (H) 70.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 20.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Szent Mihaly W (A) 8.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ferencvaros W face Szent Mihaly W on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ferencvaros W a 71% chance, the draw 21% and Szent Mihaly W 9%, so Ferencvaros W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.9 for Ferencvaros W and 1.0 for Szent Mihaly W (4.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ferencvaros W are averaging 2.70 points per game versus 1.10 for Szent Mihaly W. This match finished 3-0.

PredictVantage

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