Today / Grossaspach vs Fulda-Lehnerz

Grossaspach vs Fulda-Lehnerz Prediction

Saturday, May 9, 2026

Grossaspach

PPG 2.06 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Fulda-Lehnerz

PPG 1.31 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-13.0%0-21.9%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-05.9%1-17.5%1-24.8%1-32.0%1-4+0.8%2 2-07.3%2-19.2%2-25.9%2-32.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-06.0%3-17.6%3-24.8%3-32.0%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-06.6%4+-18.3%4+-25.3%4+-32.2%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.9% — — —

Draw 25.1% — — —

Away win 23.0% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 51.2% — — —

BTTS 58.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob58.8%

H 52% / xG 2.5-1.3 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.2%

#2 1–1 7.5%

#3 3–1 7.6%

#4 2–0 7.3%

#5 3–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Grossaspach2.5

Fulda-Lehnerz1.3

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 51.2%

Form & verdict PPG

GROSSASPACH · PPG 2.06

FULDA-LEHNERZ · PPG 1.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.06) > Away AVERAGE (1.31)

Win probability 1X2

Grossaspach (H) 51.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fulda-Lehnerz (A) 23.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Grossaspach face Fulda-Lehnerz on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Grossaspach a 52% chance, the draw 25% and Fulda-Lehnerz 23%, so Grossaspach are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Grossaspach and 1.3 for Fulda-Lehnerz (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Grossaspach are averaging 2.06 points per game versus 1.31 for Fulda-Lehnerz. This match finished 0-2.

Grossaspach vs Fulda-Lehnerz Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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