Today / Oberhausen vs Mgladbach B
Oberhausen vs Mgladbach B Prediction
Saturday, May 9, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 37% / xG 1.5-1.5 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 59%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.3% · O3.5 PROB 34.1%
Form & verdict
OBERHAUSEN · PPG 1.81
MGLADBACH B · PPG 2.06
Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.81), Away EXCELLENT (2.06)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Oberhausen face Mgladbach B on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Oberhausen a 37% chance, the draw 26% and Mgladbach B 36%, so Oberhausen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Oberhausen and 1.5 for Mgladbach B (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Oberhausen are averaging 1.81 points per game versus 2.06 for Mgladbach B. This match finished 1-0.