Today / Bonner SC vs Lotte

Bonner SC vs Lotte Prediction

Saturday, May 9, 2026

Bonner SC

PPG 1.13 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Lotte

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.13), Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-110.0%0-25.4%0-31.9%0-4+0.7%1 1-012.0%1-113.0%1-27.0%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.8%2-18.5%2-24.6%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.4%3-13.7%3-22.0%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.6%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.4% — — —

Draw 28.9% — — —

Away win 27.6% — — —

Over 2.5 46.5% — — —

Over 3.5 21.8% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.3%

H 43% / xG 1.3-1.1 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 9.2%

#3 1–0 12.0%

#4 2–1 8.5%

#5 0–1 10.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bonner SC1.3

Lotte1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 21.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BONNER SC · PPG 1.13

LOTTE · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.13), Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Bonner SC (H) 43.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lotte (A) 27.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bonner SC face Lotte on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bonner SC a 43% chance, the draw 29% and Lotte 28%, so Bonner SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Bonner SC and 1.1 for Lotte (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bonner SC are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 1.25 for Lotte. This match finished 1-2.

Bonner SC vs Lotte Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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