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Werder Bremen B vs Jeddeloh Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

North - 33 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 12:00

Werder Bremen B

PPG 1.44 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Jeddeloh

PPG 1.94 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-13.4%0-24.7%0-34.4%0-4+6.0%1 1-02.0%1-15.5%1-27.7%1-37.1%1-4+9.8%2 2-01.6%2-14.5%2-26.2%2-35.8%2-4+8.0%3 3-00.9%3-12.4%3-23.4%3-33.1%3-4+4.3%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-11.4%4+-22.0%4+-31.8%4+-4+2.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.8% — — —

Draw 21.0% — — —

Away win 56.2% — — —

Over 2.5 69.8% — — —

Over 3.5 64.3% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 77%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 3.3%

Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.8 BTTS prob63.0%

A 56% / xG 1.6-2.8 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.7%

#2 1–3 7.1%

#3 1–1 5.5%

#4 2–2 6.2%

#5 2–3 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Werder Bremen B1.6

Jeddeloh2.8

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.8% · O3.5 PROB 64.3%

Form & verdict PPG

WERDER BREMEN B · PPG 1.44

JEDDELOH · PPG 1.94

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.44) vs Away GOOD (1.94)

Win probability 1X2

Werder Bremen B (H) 22.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Jeddeloh (A) 56.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Werder Bremen B face Jeddeloh in Germany - Regionalliga - Nord on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Werder Bremen B a 23% chance, the draw 21% and Jeddeloh 56%, so Jeddeloh are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Werder Bremen B and 2.8 for Jeddeloh (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Werder Bremen B are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.94 for Jeddeloh. This match finished 4-0.

Werder Bremen B vs Jeddeloh Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

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