Today / IF Fuglafjordur vs B71 Sandur

IF Fuglafjordur vs B71 Sandur Prediction

Saturday, May 9, 2026

IF Fuglafjordur

PPG 1.67 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

B71 Sandur

PPG 2.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-13.0%0-24.8%0-35.2%0-4+9.4%1 1-01.3%1-14.3%1-27.0%1-37.5%1-4+13.7%2 2-01.0%2-13.2%2-25.1%2-35.5%2-4+10.0%3 3-00.5%3-11.5%3-22.5%3-32.7%3-4+4.9%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.8%4+-21.2%4+-31.3%4+-4+2.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.3% — — —

Draw 21.5% — — —

Away win 65.3% — — —

Over 2.5 73.3% — — —

Over 3.5 68.9% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 73%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)3.2 BTTS prob63.0%

A 65% / xG 1.5-3.2 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 7.5%

#2 1–2 7.0%

#3 1–4 6.1%

#4 2–3 5.5%

#5 0–3 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

IF Fuglafjordur1.5

B71 Sandur3.2

COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.3% · O3.5 PROB 68.9%

Form & verdict PPG

IF FUGLAFJORDUR · PPG 1.67

B71 SANDUR · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs Home GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

IF Fuglafjordur (H) 13.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

B71 Sandur (A) 65.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

IF Fuglafjordur face B71 Sandur on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives IF Fuglafjordur a 13% chance, the draw 22% and B71 Sandur 65%, so B71 Sandur are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for IF Fuglafjordur and 3.2 for B71 Sandur (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, IF Fuglafjordur are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 2.25 for B71 Sandur. This match finished 2-2.

IF Fuglafjordur vs B71 Sandur Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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