Today / Khalsa vs Tanjong Pagar

Khalsa vs Tanjong Pagar Prediction

Saturday, May 9, 2026

Khalsa

PPG 1.20 · HOME

6 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Tanjong Pagar

PPG 0.11 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-11.5%0-21.0%0-30.4%0-4+0.2%1 1-03.7%1-14.8%1-23.1%1-31.3%1-4+0.6%2 2-05.8%2-17.5%2-24.8%2-32.1%2-4+0.9%3 3-06.1%3-17.9%3-25.1%3-32.2%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-010.7%4+-113.8%4+-28.9%4+-33.8%4+-4+1.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.2% — — —

Draw 20.9% — — —

Away win 18.9% — — —

Over 2.5 69.8% — — —

Over 3.5 64.9% — — —

BTTS 62.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 6-0

xG (home)3.2 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob62.5%

H 60% / xG 3.2-1.3 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.9%

#2 2–1 7.5%

#3 4–1 6.3%

#4 3–0 6.1%

#5 2–0 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Khalsa3.2

Tanjong Pagar1.3

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.8% · O3.5 PROB 64.9%

Form & verdict PPG

KHALSA · PPG 1.20

TANJONG PAGAR · PPG 0.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.20) vs P(Home)=60.2%

Win probability 1X2

Khalsa (H) 60.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tanjong Pagar (A) 18.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Khalsa face Tanjong Pagar on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Khalsa a 60% chance, the draw 21% and Tanjong Pagar 19%, so Khalsa are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for Khalsa and 1.3 for Tanjong Pagar (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Khalsa are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 0.11 for Tanjong Pagar. This match finished 6-0.

Khalsa vs Tanjong Pagar Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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