Today / Hangzhou Linpin vs Ganzhou Ruishi

Hangzhou Linpin vs Ganzhou Ruishi Prediction

Saturday, May 9, 2026

Hangzhou Linpin
PPG 0.75 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Ganzhou Ruishi
PPG 0.67 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.6%0-114.0%0-25.0%0-31.2%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.9%1-112.8%1-24.6%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-08.2%2-15.9%2-22.1%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.5%3-11.8%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 38.0%
Draw 35.7%
Away win 26.3%
Over 2.5 35.1%
Over 3.5 8.3%
BTTS 45.9%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob45.9%

H 38% / xG 0.9-0.7 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.6%
#2 1–0 17.9%
#3 1–1 12.8%
#4 0–1 14.0%
#5 2–0 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hangzhou Linpin0.9
Ganzhou Ruishi0.7

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 8.3%

Form & verdict PPG

HANGZHOU LINPIN · PPG 0.75

GANZHOU RUISHI · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.75), Away POOR (0.67)

Win probability 1X2

Hangzhou Linpin (H) 38.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 35.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Ganzhou Ruishi (A) 26.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hangzhou Linpin face Ganzhou Ruishi on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hangzhou Linpin a 38% chance, the draw 36% and Ganzhou Ruishi 26%, so Hangzhou Linpin are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Hangzhou Linpin and 0.7 for Ganzhou Ruishi (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hangzhou Linpin are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 0.67 for Ganzhou Ruishi.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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