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Lithuania - 1 Lyga logo Lithuania flag Lithuania - 1 Lyga Regular Season - 9 Kretinga Stadium· Kretinga Saturday, May 9, 2026 11:00
Minija logo Minija PPG 3.00
3-1 HIT CS4
Dainava logo Dainava PPG 1.00
Over3.5· +31.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 67.8%
Odds: 1.47 EV: -0.3%
Draw 22.8%
Odds: 4.00 EV: -5.3%
Away 9.4%
Odds: 5.40 EV: -29.5%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.68 +3.7%
Over 3.5 47.7% Odds: 2.75 +31.2%
BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.80 -5.9%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 3-0
3rd 2-1
4th 3-1
5th 4-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Minija
2.83
Dainava
0.73

Model Suggestion

Home -0.3% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-0.3%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 54%
ROI -53.9%
Bet Hit 27% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (3.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus

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