Today / Pecsi MFC W vs Diosgyori VTK W

Pecsi MFC W vs Diosgyori VTK W Prediction

Saturday, May 9, 2026

Pecsi MFC W

PPG 1.30 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Diosgyori VTK W

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-12.0%0-21.7%0-30.9%0-4+0.5%1 1-03.4%1-15.6%1-24.6%1-32.5%1-4+1.5%2 2-04.7%2-17.7%2-26.3%2-33.4%2-4+2.0%3 3-04.3%3-17.1%3-25.8%3-33.2%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-05.8%4+-19.5%4+-27.8%4+-34.2%4+-4+2.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.5% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 26.2% — — —

Over 2.5 69.8% — — —

Over 3.5 63.9% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.0%

H 52% / xG 2.8-1.6 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.7%

#2 3–1 7.1%

#3 1–1 5.6%

#4 2–2 6.3%

#5 3–2 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pecsi MFC W2.8

Diosgyori VTK W1.6

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.8% · O3.5 PROB 63.9%

Form & verdict PPG

PECSI MFC W · PPG 1.30

DIOSGYORI VTK W · PPG 0.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.30) > Away POOR (0.60)

Win probability 1X2

Pecsi MFC W (H) 51.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Diosgyori VTK W (A) 26.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pecsi MFC W face Diosgyori VTK W on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pecsi MFC W a 52% chance, the draw 22% and Diosgyori VTK W 26%, so Pecsi MFC W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Pecsi MFC W and 1.6 for Diosgyori VTK W (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pecsi MFC W are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 0.60 for Diosgyori VTK W. This match finished 3-0.

Pecsi MFC W vs Diosgyori VTK W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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