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Armenia - Premier League logo Armenia flag Armenia - Premier League Regular Season - 25 Alashkert Stadium· Yerevan Saturday, May 9, 2026 11:00
Alashkert logo Alashkert PPG 1.92
3-1 MISS
Gandzasar logo Gandzasar PPG 0.45
Away· +23.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.4%
Odds: 1.40 EV: -26.6%
Draw 27.2%
Odds: 4.20 EV: +8.5%
Away 20.5%
Odds: 6.80 EV: +23.6%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.8% Odds: 1.77 -18.9%
Over 3.5 17.6% Odds: 2.95 -28.8%
BTTS 45.9% Odds: 1.93 -11.4%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 2-0
3rd 0-0
4th 1-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Alashkert
1.61
Gandzasar
0.56

Model Suggestion

Home -26.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -26.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+23.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%
O2.5/Under 47%
BTTS/No 56%
Score Hit 50%
ROI -42.6%
Bet Hit 43% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.92) vs P(Home)=52.4%

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