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Sebat G. vs Yozgat Prediction

League logo Turkey flag Unknown League Group 3 - 30 Ortahisar Yavuz Selim Stadı· Trabzon Saturday, April 18, 2026 11:00
Sebat G. logo Sebat G. PPG 2.71
2-3 MISS
Yozgat logo Yozgat PPG 1.57
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Sebat G. face Yozgat on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sebat G. a 62% chance, the draw 22% and Yozgat 16%, so Sebat G. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Sebat G. and 0.8 for Yozgat (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sebat G. are averaging 2.71 points per game versus 1.57 for Yozgat. This match finished 2-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 61.9%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 22.3%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 15.8%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.8% Odds: —
Over 3.5 26.9% Odds: —
BTTS 46.0% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 2-0
3rd 1-1
4th 2-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Sebat G.
1.83
Yozgat
0.80

Model Suggestion

Home MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.71) vs P(Home)=61.9%

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