Today / UJ Krakow W vs Gdansk W
UJ Krakow W vs Gdansk W Prediction
Saturday, May 9, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 38% / xG 1.6-1.5 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 38.8%
Form & verdict
UJ KRAKOW W · PPG 0.78
GDANSK W · PPG 0.78
Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.78), Away POOR (0.78)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
UJ Krakow W face Gdansk W on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives UJ Krakow W a 38% chance, the draw 26% and Gdansk W 36%, so UJ Krakow W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for UJ Krakow W and 1.5 for Gdansk W (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, UJ Krakow W are averaging 0.78 points per game versus 0.78 for Gdansk W. This match finished 2-0.