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Rukh Lviv vs Veres Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Regular Season - 27 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 10:00

Rukh Lviv

PPG 0.77 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Veres

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.2%0-114.7%0-28.9%0-33.5%0-4+1.4%1 1-011.0%1-113.2%1-27.9%1-33.2%1-4+1.2%2 2-04.9%2-15.9%2-23.6%2-31.4%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.5%3-11.8%3-21.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.4% 37.0% 2.70 -15.6%

Draw 29.5% 34.5% 2.90 -8.7%

Away win 43.1% 39.2% 2.55 +9.9%

Over 2.5 45.8% 37.7% 2.65 +21.4%

Over 3.5 16.1% 22.2% 4.50 -16.5%

BTTS 49.3% 47.6% 2.10 +3.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 56%

ROI 11.4%

Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob49.3%

A 43% / xG 0.9-1.2 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0✓ 12.2%

#3 0–1 14.7%

#4 1–0 11.0%

#5 0–2 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rukh Lviv0.9

Veres1.2

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.8% · O3.5 PROB 16.1%

Form & verdict PPG

RUKH LVIV · PPG 0.77

VERES · PPG 1.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.77) vs Away AVERAGE (1.08)

Win probability 1X2

Rukh Lviv (H) 27.4%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -15.6%

Draw 29.5%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -8.7%

Veres (A) 43.1%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV +9.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rukh Lviv face Veres in Ukraine - Premier League on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rukh Lviv a 27% chance, the draw 30% and Veres 43%, so Veres are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Rukh Lviv and 1.2 for Veres (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rukh Lviv are averaging 0.77 points per game versus 1.08 for Veres. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +21.4%. This match finished 0-0.

Rukh Lviv vs Veres Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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