Today / Lech Poznan UAM vs UKS SMS Lodz W
Lech Poznan UAM vs UKS SMS Lodz W Prediction
Saturday, May 9, 2026
// Model verdict
BTTS
Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.44)
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
A 42% / xG 1.6-2.0 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 62%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 48.2%
Form & verdict
LECH POZNAN UAM · PPG 1.50
UKS SMS LODZ W · PPG 1.44
Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.44)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Lech Poznan UAM face UKS SMS Lodz W on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lech Poznan UAM a 33% chance, the draw 25% and UKS SMS Lodz W 42%, so UKS SMS Lodz W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Lech Poznan UAM and 2.0 for UKS SMS Lodz W (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lech Poznan UAM are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.44 for UKS SMS Lodz W. This match finished 1-1.