Today / Ostrava W vs Plzen W

Ostrava W vs Plzen W Prediction

Saturday, May 9, 2026

Ostrava W

PPG 1.13 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Plzen W

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.13) > Away POOR (0.50)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-12.8%0-22.6%0-31.6%0-4+1.1%1 1-03.6%1-16.6%1-26.1%1-33.8%1-4+2.7%2 2-04.1%2-17.7%2-27.1%2-34.4%2-4+3.1%3 3-03.2%3-15.9%3-25.5%3-33.4%3-4+2.4%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-16.0%4+-25.5%4+-33.4%4+-4+2.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.0% — — —

Draw 23.2% — — —

Away win 28.7% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 60.1% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob63.5%

H 48% / xG 2.3-1.9 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.7%

#2 1–1✓ 6.6%

#3 2–2 7.1%

#4 1–2 6.1%

#5 3–1 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ostrava W2.3

Plzen W1.9

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 60.1%

Form & verdict PPG

OSTRAVA W · PPG 1.13

PLZEN W · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.13) > Away POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Ostrava W (H) 48.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Plzen W (A) 28.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ostrava W face Plzen W on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ostrava W a 48% chance, the draw 23% and Plzen W 29%, so Ostrava W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Ostrava W and 1.9 for Plzen W (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ostrava W are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 0.50 for Plzen W. This match finished 1-1.

Ostrava W vs Plzen W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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