Today / Pazarspor vs Amasyaspor

Pazarspor vs Amasyaspor Prediction

Group 3 - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 11:00

Pazarspor

PPG 1.50 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Amasyaspor

PPG 0.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=59.4%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.0%0-17.3%0-22.2%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.1%1-111.0%1-23.3%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.7%2-18.3%2-22.5%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-06.9%3-14.2%3-21.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-12.2%4+-20.7%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.4% — — —

Draw 25.8% — — —

Away win 14.8% — — —

Over 2.5 35.6% — — —

Over 3.5 16.6% — — —

BTTS 35.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob35.5%

H 59% / xG 1.5-0.6 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 36%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0✓ 18.1%

#2 2–0 13.7%

#3 0–0 12.0%

#4 1–1 11.0%

#5 2–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pazarspor1.5

Amasyaspor0.6

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.6% · O3.5 PROB 16.6%

Form & verdict PPG

PAZARSPOR · PPG 1.50

AMASYASPOR · PPG 0.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=59.4%

Win probability 1X2

Pazarspor (H) 59.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Amasyaspor (A) 14.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pazarspor face Amasyaspor on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pazarspor a 59% chance, the draw 26% and Amasyaspor 15%, so Pazarspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Pazarspor and 0.6 for Amasyaspor (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 36% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pazarspor are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.57 for Amasyaspor. This match finished 1-0.

Pazarspor vs Amasyaspor Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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