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Brothers Union vs Rahmatgonj Prediction— Bangladesh - Premier League

Regular Season - 16 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 09:45

Brothers Union

PPG 0.75 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Rahmatgonj

PPG 0.63 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.75), Away POOR (0.63)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.7%0-110.1%0-25.9%0-32.3%0-4+0.9%1 1-011.1%1-112.9%1-27.5%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.1%2-18.3%2-24.8%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.0%3-13.5%3-22.1%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.5%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.7% — — —

Draw 27.9% — — —

Away win 34.4% — — —

Over 2.5 46.5% — — —

Over 3.5 23.1% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 70%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 17%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.3%

H 38% / xG 1.3-1.2 / O2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 8.7%

#3 1–0 11.1%

#4 2–1 8.3%

#5 0–1 10.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brothers Union1.3

Rahmatgonj1.2

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 23.1%

Form & verdict PPG

BROTHERS UNION · PPG 0.75

RAHMATGONJ · PPG 0.63

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.75), Away POOR (0.63)

Win probability 1X2

Brothers Union (H) 37.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Rahmatgonj (A) 34.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Brothers Union face Rahmatgonj in Bangladesh - Premier League on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brothers Union a 38% chance, the draw 28% and Rahmatgonj 34%, so Brothers Union are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Brothers Union and 1.2 for Rahmatgonj (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brothers Union are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 0.63 for Rahmatgonj. This match finished 3-1.

Brothers Union vs Rahmatgonj Prediction— Bangladesh - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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