St George City vs Sutherland S. Prediction & Tips

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Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 14 Penshurst Park Saturday, May 9, 2026 09:15

St George City PPG 1.14

1-0 MISS

Sutherland S. PPG 1.17

Away· +11.2% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 27.6%

Odds: 2.60 EV: -16.9%

Draw 27.0%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -7.3%

Away 45.4%

Odds: 2.45 EV: +11.2%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.8% Odds: 1.80 -5.0%

Over 3.5 27.2% Odds: 3.00 -11.0%

BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.60 -12.6%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

St George City

1.04

Sutherland S.

1.60

Model SuggestionBTTS -12.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -12.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+11.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5/Under 50%

BTTS/No 46%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 17.4%

Bet Hit 71% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.14), Away AVERAGE (1.17)